4 June 2006

Winter outlook

There is a moderate shift in the odds towards below average winter (June-August) rainfall across parts of northern New South Wales, the Bureau of Meteorology announced today. For the rest of the state, the chances of accumulating at least average rain during winter are between 40% and 50%.

The pattern of winter rainfall odds is largely a result of above average temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. Conditions in the Indian Ocean are near normal and have little influence on the outlook.

For the June to August period, the chances of above median rainfall are between 30 and 40% over much of northern New South Wales, north and east of a line from Sydney through Dubbo to Bourke, except for some coastal areas (see map). This means that below average falls have a 60 to 70% chance of occurring.

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/rain.nsw.shtml

*Declining excuses for sleeping in

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